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  Highlight

CGES August Oil Market View
The main crude benchmarks, WTI and Brent, have not broken decisively out of the $70-80 range that has prevailed since October ’09, but there have been significant swings in each direction in the past four weeks...

  Recent

August Oil Market Forecast and Analysis - MOR

SEPTEMBER 2010

August Oil Market Forecast and Analysis - MOR

Since early October 2010 benchmark crude oil prices have been trading in a range between $70 and $80/bbl, showing no sign of breaking decisively in either direction and receiving few signals from market fundamentals.

A closer look at China’s oil demand prospects

SEPTEMBER 2010

A closer look at China’s oil demand prospects

China is currently consuming roughly an equal amount of energy as the US (about 2.2 bn tonnes per year of oil equivalent), although its GDP is one third than that of the latter.

How much crude oil needs to be found?

AUGUST 2010

How much crude oil needs to be found?

In view of the revival in global oil demand now underway and the recent leaking of millions of barrels of crude oil into the Gulf of Mexico, questions are being raised once more about how much oil the world needs to find each year to be on the right side of prudence.

Australia's LNG

AUGUST 2010

Australia's LNG

Australia is an important LNG exporter that is currently home to one of the biggest LNG ventures in the world, the North West Shelf (NWS) LNG project...

  Archives

2010

  • August 16, 2010

    Unconventional gas in Russia

    Russia’s Gazprom has dismissed attempts by European countries to emulate the unconventional gas successes of the US, seeking to pour cold water on attempts by several European countries to develop their own shale gas industries.

  • August 10, 2010

    Nord Stream begins pipelaying

    The Nord Stream consortium has begun laying the first of its two parallel gas pipelines beneath the Baltic Sea, with a formal ceremony at Portovaya Bay on the 9th of March.

  • August 9, 2010

    The Oil Price Puzzle

    Dr. Leo Drollas, presentation from the Nov. 2009 CGES Executive Retreat.

  • July 28, 2010

    CGES Monthly Oil Market View

    The past month held few surprises as far as the oil price was concerned, with the main benchmarks continuing to trade within the $70-80/bbl corridor that has been a feature of the second quarter of 2010.

  • July 20, 2010

    Too many pipelines?

    Gazprom plans to build five major offshore and ten major onshore pipelines over the coming decade, with a combined length of around 20,000 km. Can Gazprom really complete all the pipelines it is planning to build?

  • July 5, 2010

    The cost of the Macondo well disaster

    The blowout at the Macondo well in the deepwater Gulf of Mexico is a tragedy for those who lost their lives and their families and a potential catastrophe for those whose livelihoods have been impacted.

  • July 5, 2010

    Africa Oil & Gas Sourcebook 2010: Cameroon

    Cameroon’s upstream oil industry is centred on the waters of the Gulf of Guinea, in the Rio del Rey basin close to the border with Nigeria and the Douala/Kribi-Campos basin, and more recently in the Logorne-Birni basin along the border with Chad.

  • February 28, 2010

    The effect of the changing US dollar exchange rate

    Although all consumers saw oil prices rising over the course of 2009, the weakening of the US Dollar against most major currencies from its position at the end of 2008 offset to a degree the increase in dollar- enominated oil prices.

  • January 18, 2010

    Saudi Arabia’s fiscal balances and target oil price for 2010

    In retrospect, 2008 proved to be an exceptional year for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. A massive fiscal surplus thanks to record high oil prices in that year enabled the Saudi government to boost its core spending and at the same time build very large financial reserves that offer good support during these leaner times.

2009

  • December 14, 2009

    Hedging shipping's fuel costs

    Since 1987 oil prices have been extremely volatile, ranging from lows of $11/bbl (for front month WTI) in December 1998 to a record high of $134/bbl in June 2008, followed by a precipitous decline to $42/bbl in January 2009 — a fall of $92/bbl (69%) in seven months — only to post a remarkable recovery to around $75/bbl these days.

  • December 1, 2009

    The key to the puzzle

    Churchill's famous dictum can easily be applied to the oil market by substituting 'the oil price' for Russia and 'the oil futures market and expectations' for Russian national interest. From January '09 onwards it had become clear that the world was experiencing the worst recession since the 1930s.

  • November 17, 2009

    Azerbaijan’s alternatives

    As it continues to face difficulties in agreeing transit terms and gas prices with Turkey, Azerbaijan is casting around for alternative ways of exporting its gas.

  • November 1, 2009

    A tale of two gas deals

    Over the past month Russia has signed two gas deals with neighbouring countries, one with China and another with Azerbaijan. The agreement with China seems to be another tiny step along a very long road that may, or may not, eventually lead to a multi-billion cubic metre per year gas trade...

  • September 29, 2009

    Russia leaves door ajar for more foreign investment

    Russian officials have been making more conciliatory noises about foreign investment in the country’s energy sector, only a year after passing legislation aimed at restricting the input of overseas firms.

  • June 18, 2009

    Oil production in the Gulf of Mexico

    Oil production from the Gulf of Mexico (GoM) promises to be an increasingly important source of non-OPEC output in the coming years. However, while several large projects have come on stream in the US’ deepwater section over the last twelve months, Mexico has failed to staunch rapidly declining production rates from its offshore or realise its deepwater potential.

  • May 15, 2009

    Venezuela expropriates oil service companies

    Venezuela moved quickly to begin expropriating oil service companies operating in Lake Maracaibo within hours of the National Assembly passing a law extending state control to all oil-related activities.

  • May 1, 2009

    It’s official: CO2 is now a pollutant

    If plants could talk they would protest vehemently, for one of their principal nutrients is CO2 and the US' Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has just decreed that CO2 — along with methane, CFCs and three other greenhouse gases.

2008

  • February 12, 2008

    Another stream to muddy the waters

    Another proposed gas pipeline from the former Soviet Union to Europe has recently hit the headlines after Ukraine’s prime minister urged the EU to back the route that would run from the Caspian Sea to Europe via Ukraine.